Wen Bin, chief economist of Minsheng Bank: The "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continues to narrow, reflecting the positive trend of the economy. "The total financial volume has grown steadily, and the liquidity is reasonable and abundant, which has maintained strong support for the real economy." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, believes that the year-on-year growth rate of narrow money (M1) balance rebounded in November compared with last month, and the "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continued to narrow, reflecting the positive economic trend. Wen Bin introduced that the medium and long-term loans of households in China are mainly personal housing mortgage loans. With the real estate financial policy taking effect, the phenomenon of early repayment of personal loans has been significantly reduced, and personal loans will continue to stabilize and rebound. The recent improvement of commercial housing transaction data and financial data confirms each other, and the confidence of the real estate market and residents is further enhanced.China is a through train: a moderately loose monetary policy will be implemented in 2025. Recently, both Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party and the Central Economic Work Conference decided that China will implement a moderately loose monetary policy next year. People close to the central bank said that the adjustment of monetary policy expression means that monetary policy will continue to maintain greater support for the real economy next year. In the current situation that the economic recovery is still facing many internal and external uncertainties and prices continue to run at a low level, this is very necessary, and it also reflects the central decision-making deployment of "implementing more active and promising macro policies". Judging from a series of recent policy operations and official statements, China's macro-control ideas are also being dynamically optimized, gradually paying more attention to investment from the past, paying equal attention to investment and consumption, and paying more attention to consumption change. People close to the central bank said that in the future, moderately loose monetary policy will be consistent with the overall macro-control thinking change, and more support will be given to promoting consumption and benefiting people's livelihood. (The country is a through train)Huilv Ecology: The plan to increase capital to Junheng Technology to achieve control constitutes a major asset restructuring. Huilv Ecology announced that the company and Peng Kaisheng plan to increase capital to Wuhan Junheng Technology Co., Ltd. by paying cash. Before this capital increase, listed companies held 35% equity of Junheng Technology. After this capital increase is completed, listed companies will hold 51% equity of Junheng Technology to control Junheng Technology and include Junheng Technology in the scope of consolidated statements. The total consideration of this transaction is 246 million yuan, all of which are paid in cash. According to the relevant provisions of the Measures for the Administration of Major Asset Restructuring of Listed Companies, this transaction constitutes a major asset restructuring.
Wen Bin, chief economist of Minsheng Bank: The "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continues to narrow, reflecting the positive trend of the economy. "The total financial volume has grown steadily, and the liquidity is reasonable and abundant, which has maintained strong support for the real economy." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, believes that the year-on-year growth rate of narrow money (M1) balance rebounded in November compared with last month, and the "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continued to narrow, reflecting the positive economic trend. Wen Bin introduced that the medium and long-term loans of households in China are mainly personal housing mortgage loans. With the real estate financial policy taking effect, the phenomenon of early repayment of personal loans has been significantly reduced, and personal loans will continue to stabilize and rebound. The recent improvement of commercial housing transaction data and financial data confirms each other, and the confidence of the real estate market and residents is further enhanced.This week, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange took self-regulatory measures against 171 abnormal securities trading behaviors, and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange released regulatory trends: 1. Regulatory trends of listed companies (December 6-December 12, 2024) From December 6 to December 12, the Exchange took disciplinary action against one violation, involving information disclosure and standardized operation violations; Supervision letters were issued for 9 violations, 3 related to information disclosure and standardized operation violations, and 6 related to securities trading violations. This week, 18 inquiry letters and 5 other letters were sent out. II. Market Trading Supervision Dynamics (December 9-December 13, 2024) From December 9 to December 13, the Exchange took self-regulatory measures against 171 abnormal securities trading behaviors, involving abnormal trading situations such as intraday bidding, false declaration, etc. Focus on monitoring "*ST Tongzhou" with abnormal stock price fluctuation recently; A total of 9 major events of listed companies were verified, and 3 clues of suspected illegal cases were reported to the CSRC. (Issued by Shenzhen Stock Exchange)Japanese people protested against sexual violence by US troops stationed in Japan. On the evening of 13th, Japanese people held a rally outside the Japanese Foreign Ministry in Tokyo to protest against sexual violence by US troops stationed in Japan. (Xinhua News Agency)
CapitaMacro: The new French Prime Minister has a long way to go. Jack Allen-Reynolds, an analyst at CapitaMacro, wrote in a report to clients that if the new French Prime Minister wants to form a government and solve the country's troubled financial problems, he will face arduous tasks. Francois bayrou, a veteran centrist politician, was appointed as prime minister by President Macron on Friday. He must now form a government because his short-lived predecessor, Michelle Banier, tried to force through budget legislation and was overthrown by the National Assembly. Bayrou may face the same battle. Reynolds said: "The government seems unlikely to have the will and ability to solve France's financial problems." France's budget deficit this year will further expand, further exceeding the level that European authorities think can be tolerated.Important figures of the South Korean police were detained, and Zhao Zhihao, director of the South Korean Police Department, and Kim Fung-sik, director of the Seoul Police Department, were detained on the evening of 13th. It is reported that the Seoul Central District Court said that Zhao Zhihao and Jin Fengzhi had the possibility of destroying evidence, so they issued detention orders. According to South Korean police investigation, the two men concealed the fact that they had met with President Yin Xiyue before martial law. South Korean police arrested Zhao Zhihao and Jin Fengzhi on suspicion of civil strife in the early morning of 11th. According to Korean law, after the police urgently arrest the suspect, if there is no detention order, they must release him within 48 hours.Countering the price limit of Western countries, Putin extended the oil supply ban. On the 13th, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a presidential decree, announcing the extension of the counter-measures to set price ceilings for Russian oil and oil products until June 30, 2025. Putin signed a presidential decree on December 27, 2022, demanding that the supply of Russian petroleum and petroleum products to foreign legal persons and individuals who directly or indirectly use the price ceiling mechanism in their contracts be prohibited. This presidential decree came into effect on February 1, 2023, and its validity period was extended several times. In early December, 2022, EU member states reached an agreement on setting a price ceiling of $60 per barrel for Russian seaborne oil exports. The Group of Seven and Australia announced that they would implement the same price limit policy as the EU. (Xinhua News Agency)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14